Geopolitics

(22) Predictions available in this category

Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel on 31 December 2026?

Geopolitics

900 points

Israel holds a general election on 27 October 2026, with Netanyahu seeking another term after the tw... Read More

Will the United States carry out a confirmed military strike inside Iran before 30 September 2026?

Geopolitics

1,000 points

A 60-day memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran expired on 17 August 2026 with no... Read More

Will Brazil elect a president outright in the first round on 4 October?

Geopolitics

700 points

Brazil holds the first round of its presidential election on 4 October 2026, with a run-off schedule... Read More

Will Russian and Ukrainian officials hold a new round of direct talks before 31 October 2026?

Geopolitics

1,000 points

Direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine have been stalled since a round held in Abu Dhabi in... Read More

Will the Republicans keep control of the US Senate at the 3 November midterms?

Geopolitics

1,000 points

All 435 House seats, a class of Senate seats and 36 governorships are contested at the United States... Read More

Will the United States and Iran hold a new round of direct talks before 31 October 2026?

Geopolitics

1,000 points

Washington and Tehran negotiated face to face earlier in 2026, in Oman in February and in Islamabad... Read More

Will a US federal government shutdown begin on 1 October 2026?

Geopolitics

800 points

US government funding for the 2026 fiscal year expires at the end of 30 September, and Congress must... Read More

Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet face to face before 31 December 2026?

Geopolitics

1,000 points

US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner spent five hours with Putin in Moscow on 9 August 2026 wit... Read More